2022 Fantasy Football Positional Rankings | Sharp Football

2022-07-10 06:28:49 By : Ms. PAN PAN

With the NFL Draft now completed, rosters across the NFL are taking shape, which means fantasy football season is just around the corner.

The table below has fantasy ranks and auction values for all quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, kickers, and team defenses for standard and PPR formats as well as top-200 SuperFlex rankings and Tight End Premium scoring. These rankings are also downloadable by clicking download at the bottom of the ranks.

Strength of schedule: Lower numbers = easier

Josh Allen: Looking to be the first quarterback to pace the position in fantasy points in three straight years since Brett Favre from 1995-1997. Allen paced the position in scoring five different weeks in 2021 (most in the league) with three other weeks as a top-four scorer.  

Justin Herbert: QB8 and QB2 in points per game to open his career. First player in NFL history to start his career with 30 touchdown passes in his first two seasons. Plays for most aggressive head coach in the league.

Patrick Mahomes: M ahomes has averaged over 20 fantasy points per game in each of the past four seasons, finishing as the QB1, QB6, QB2, and QB5 in points per game over his stretch as a starter. Has seen his yards per pass attempt drop from the previous year in each of the past three seasons and he now will be without Tyreek Hill .

Kyler Murray: Has opened his career with seasons as the QB12, QB5, and the QB4 in points per game while flirting with giving us pockets in each season as potential to be the QB1 and MVP. 

5. Lamar Jackson: Little went right in 2021. Still one of the highest floors at the position but has not tapped into that 2019 ceiling. Just four top-three scoring weeks over the past two seasons after nine in his MVP campaign. 

Jalen Hurts: QB6 in points per game in 2021, 11 QB1 scoring weeks in 16 starts. Team attempting to give him as much as possible to improve as a passer in acquiring A.J. Brown . 

Russell Wilson: Despite uneven season in 2021, Wilson was fourth in the league in passing points per attempt (.531). He has a touchdown rate of 6.0% or higher in five straight seasons. Denver is rich with promising young pass catchers.

Joe Burrow: Led the league in completion percentage (70.4%) and yards per attempt (9.0), the first passer to lead the league in both categories since Drew Brees in 2017. High variance, Burrow paced the position in scoring twice with eight QB1 scoring weeks, but also another seven as the QB16 or lower.

Tom Brady: W ill turn 45 years old this August but is coming back for one more season at least in Tampa Bay, where he has finished as the QB11 and QB3 in points per game. Even at age 44, Brady hit for fantasy, throwing for 5,316 yards and 43 touchdowns while attempting 42.3 passes per game.

Trey Lance: Lamar Jackson in 2019. Josh Allen in 2020. Jalen Hurts in 2021. Discounted passers with high fantasy floors and ceiling potential were the best values those seasons. Trey Lance in 2022? When we did see Lance play as a rookie, he led all quarterbacks in fantasy points per dropback (0.75) on his limited sample.

Matthew Stafford: QB6 in overall scoring for fantasy, scoring 19.4 points per game (the third-most of his career) while he completed 67.2% of his passes for 8.1 Y/A, 4,886 yards, and 41 touchdowns in first season with Sean McVay. 

Dak Prescott: QB7, QB14, QB13, QB7, QB1, and QB8 seasons per game at his position to open his career. Losing weapons, his career-high 6.2% touchdown rate should regress, but hoping that he runs more with another year removed from major ankle injury.

Aaron Rodgers: Quarterback runs deep again with strong options as evidence of the the b ack-to-back MVP sitting here looking like a massive value. Rodgers has finished as the QB4 and QB7 in fantasy points per game the past two seasons. He loses Davante Adams, but Rodgers also has strong splits with Adams off the field . 

Deshaun Watson: Has never finished outside of the top-six scorers per game at his position and led the league in yards per pass attempt when we last saw him on the field in 2020. Still approaching things at this point as if we see an early-season suspension, but factoring in replacement value, bump him way up in 2QB formats over 1QB leagues. If not suspended, would jump to front-end QB1.

Justin Fields: Bears have inspired little confidence this offseason, but Fields was a QB1 scorer in four of his final five games in an equally terrible climate as a rookie.

Kirk Cousins: Has been a steady fantasy producer, closing just one of the past seven seasons outside of the top-16 scorers at his position per game while finishing as the QB12 in points per game in each of the past two seasons. With Kevin O’Connell incoming, anticipate higher passing volume and more 3WR sets over previously hyper-conservative environments.

Tua Tagovailoa: Through 21 starts, Tagovailoa has four QB1 scoring weeks with two inside of the top-10, but a major overhaul in talent on the offense and system has him in position to make a Year 3 leap.

Derek Carr: Has set a new career-high in passing yardage in each of the past four seasons. Adding Davante Adams, these are the best weapons of his career. Lack of rushing while finishing higher than QB19 in points per game just once through eight seasons keep him better in 2QB formats and high-floor QB2.

Zach Wilson: Bottom of the league in nearly every passing metric as a rookie, the Jets have invested a lot in the offense around him to give him every chance for Year 2 improvement.

Trevor Lawrence: Disastrous rookie season that looks even worse factoring in expectations. Lawrence ended the year with just 12 touchdown passes and 17 interceptions. The only games in which he threw multiple touchdowns were the season opener and final game of the year. How much of a pass and do-over do we give based on Urban Meyer’s incompetence?

Ryan Tannehill: Q B16 a year ago with just five QB1 scoring weeks. 5.5 Y/A without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones on the field. While the replacements this offseason are better than the depth he had last year, still a lot to be answered in ceiling. 

Daniel Jones: After throwing 24 touchdowns as a rookie, Jones has thrown 21 touchdown passes the past two seasons. Still has underbelly of rushing ability, better-than-assumed pass catcher, and Brian Daboll coming in this season to live on a prayer.

Carson Wentz: Third team in three years. QB17 in points per game in 2021. Threw for just 6.3 yards per attempt over the final 11 games with two QB1 scoring weeks over his final eight games. 

Jameis Winston: The top quarterback in fantasy points per attempt (.601) while second in the NFL in EPA per play on his abbreviated sample. Winston also was living off a completely unsustainable 8.7% touchdown rate, but Michael Thomas and Chris Olave provide a much-improved outfit after he targeted Alvin Kamara a team-high 34 times under center.

Mac Jones: The best of the 2021 rookie quarterbacks, but w ith just 12.9 rushing points all season, Jones is forced to produce top-shelf passing stats to compete with the field on a fantasy level.

Matt Ryan: Played better than Wentz in 2021 in a far worse environment , but s tuck as a QB2 and streamer for fantasy purposes.

Davis Mills: 7.3 Y/A with 11 touchdowns to three interceptions over his final six starts has bought him another year to audition for the future. Mills threw more touchdown passes (16) than every rookie after Mac Jones in 2021.

Kenny Pickett: Should push to start as early as Week 1 and will start sooner than later with first-round investment and only Mitchell Trubisky in his way. Pickett brings the missing mobility to Matt Canada’s offense and the offense has plenty of tangible surrounding talent. 

Jared Goff: Since being the QB10 in points per game in 2018, Goff has been the QB22, QB24, and QB24 in points per game the past three seasons. 

Marcus Mariota: Can find streaming and QB2 floor while averaging 3.3 rushing points per start in his career, but Atlanta unlikely to be good enough overall to keep them from taking a look at Desmond Ridder.

Sam Darnold: Started off last season with three 300-yard passing games the opening month and 8.1 yards per attempt, but then flatlined for 5.1 Y/A the rest of the way losing playing time to Cam Newton and P.J. Walker. Like Mariota, can Carolina be good enough overall for Darnold to start the full season? 

Drew Lock: Things keep falling his way to potentially start in 2021 despite ranking 33rd in EPA per dropback (-0.06), 36th in completion percentage (59.3%), 30th in yards per pass attempt (6.68 Y/A), 34th in touchdown rate (3.5%), and 31st in interception rate (2.8%) since entering the league.

Desmond Ridder: Experienced and athletic, Ridder should make starts for Atlanta before the 2023 offseason. 

Matt Corral: Similar situation to Ridder, we should bet on Corral getting a look sometime this season. 

Mitchell Trubisky: Not far off from Marcus Mariota, but also not as strong of an initial runway to win and keep the job paired with first-round investment in Kenny Pickett.

Baker Mayfield: Currently his best odds of starting in 2022 are down to a trade to Seattle or an early-season suspension to Deshaun Watson. 

Jimmy Garoppolo: Injuries have prevented any market for him changing teams this offseason, keeping the door open for a non-zero chance he remains in San Francisco. 

Jacoby Brissett: Assuming Baker Mayfield does inevitably find his way off the roster, Brissett would be the option to start games if Watson is suspended. 

Geno Smith: Still technically in an open competition with Drew Lock. Smith was QB24, QB19, and QB7 in his three starts in 2021.

Jonathan Taylor: 2,171 yards and 20 TDs behind one of the most-injured offensive lines in 2021. Checks too many objective boxes of prime age apex, elite pedigree and athleticism, team built around him being the catalyst for the offense.  

Christian McCaffrey: Has scorned a corner of the fantasy community for good after playing in just 10 games the past two seasons, but still the best fantasy asset per game when on the field. In the five full games he played this season, he closed the week as the RB1, RB3, RB15, RB4, and RB3 in scoring, averaging 23.6 points per game those weeks with fewer than 24 points in just one. Carolina O-Line beefed up this offseason.

Austin Ekeler: Produced 92.9% of the output Jonathan Taylor had with a missed game. Has now has ranked first, third, and second at his position in receiving points per game over the past three years. Potential touchdown regression is incoming after Ekeler led all position players with 163.1 fantasy points in the red zone after totaling 145.6 points in that area of the field over four seasons.

Derrick Henry: Now 28 years old and coming off his first major injury. Yards after contact have dipped in each of the past two seasons, but still led the NFL in touches per game (29.6) and expected fantasy points per game (21.0) while on the field. Over the past three seasons, only Davante Adams has more 30-point PPR games (12) than Henry has (nine) among skill players.

Najee Harris: Premier workhorse in the NFL. Played 170 more snaps than the next-closest back last season. As a byproduct, he led all backs with 381 touches and 74 receptions and was second in the league in expected points per game (20.2). 

Joe Mixon: 1,519 yards and 16 touchdowns on 334 touches in route to an RB4 season in points per game. Elite offensive attachment. One blemish is still underutilized as a consistent pass catcher. Mixon had nine games with two or fewer catches, averaging 11.6 points per game those weeks with one week higher than RB24. In his other seven games, he averaged 26.3 points per game with one game lower than RB4.

Alvin Kamara: Averaged a career-high 22.1 touches per game (third in the league) but caught a career-low 47 passes. Dead last in the league in rushing yards below expectation (-133) while his broken plus missed tackle rate per attempt (16.7%) was his lowest since 2018. Has the milk started to turn, or a product of the league’s most-injured offensive line and lack of surrounding talent throughout the season? Both improved this offseason. Hearing pushed back to August provides a window to drag their feet on a 2022 suspension, but also a period where we are still flying blind for the rest of the summer on if he will miss games this season.

Dalvin Cook: Cook still was fifth in the league in touches per game (21.8), what hurt him was finding the end zone just six times after 17 and 13 scores the previous two seasons. Averaged a career-low 2.6 receptions per game for just 6.6 yards per catch. Cook also missed another four games, leaving him without a full season played through five years in the league. Expecting touchdowns to rebound while anticipating the new offense to be a rising tide. Minor suspension concern still looms.

D’Andre Swift: Closed 2021 10th at the position in points per game (16.1) and 16th in touches per game (16.4). We have had flashes that he has RB1 overall potential but needs more overall work. Averaged just 9.6 carries per game playing with Jamaal Willians, totaling 41.6% of the carries in those games with a high game of 14 carries. 

Leonard Fournette: Perhaps the biggest winner of the offseason returning to Tampa Bay on a significant extension with Tom Brady also coming back. In 22 career games with Bucs in which he played just half of the team snaps, Fournette has averaged 17.6 touches for 89.2 yards per game with 4.7 receptions per game and 19 total touchdowns. 

Saquon Barkley: ACL and ankle injuries have stonewalled past two seasons, but I am still not ready to jump off the ship on a 25-year-old back with elite pedigree, athleticism, and draft capital in a backfield with next to zero competition. 

Javonte Williams: 12th among all backs in yards from scrimmage (1,219), caught 43 passes, and ranked second in the league in missed tackles forced (63) in the run game behind Jonathan Taylor despite having 129 fewer carries. Can still produce as a 1A, especially in what we are projecting to be a much better overall offense after adding Russell Wilson. While Melvin Gordon does present an immediate ceiling roadblock, he also struck out on the veteran market and only returned on a one-year/$2.5 million deal.

James Conner: Another big offseason winner, Conner averaged a robust 26.0 points per game in six games with Chase Edmonds absent, registering five RB1 scoring weeks. Conner has now been a top-30 scorer per game in each of the past four seasons with two RB1 scoring seasons per game on his resume, but he also has yet to play a full season.

Aaron Jones: RB13 in mixed-bag campaign . Jones had his third straight season with double-digit touchdowns. He remained efficient, averaging 5.3 yards per touch, his fifth straight season over 5.0 yards per touch. Out-touched 17-5 in the red zone by A.J. Dillon with both on the field Week 12 and later. In the seven games that Adams has missed over the past three seasons, Jones has received 6.7 targets per game (19.7% of the team share), with 5.1 catches for 55.4 yards per game and four receiving scores.

Ezekiel Elliott: Not as dead as many assume and no longer carries front-end RB1 expectations. Elliott was still second in the NFL in snaps played and carries top-shelf touchdown equity. Averaged 12.4 points per game over the final 11 games while shedding 4.6 touches per game after a PCL injury after 19.6 points per game prior.

Nick Chubb: Accrued another 1,433 yards and nine scores in 2021 while averaging 5.5 yards per carry, becoming the first running back ever to average over 5.0 yards per carry with over 100 attempts in each of their first four seasons in the league. Caught just 20 passes, his third season in four years with 20 or fewer receptions. That lack of passing involvement keeps Chubb from pushing to pace the position in scoring and more touchdown-dependent than top backs, producing just five RB2 or better scoring weeks in 21 games without a trip to the end zone over the past three seasons. 

David Montgomery: Second among all backs in snap share per game (74.6%) while handling 81.2% of the backfield touches in his games played. Three consecutive seasons with over 1,000 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns. 

Travis Etienne: Another back that lost all of 2021 and wide range of outcomes. The Jaguars have had a full staff upheaval this offseason to pair with Etienne’s unknown offensive role off injury, but with James Robinson suffering an Achilles injury to end the 2021 season while entering a restricted free agent contract year, Etienne has a head start this offseason in leading this backfield. 

J.K. Dobbins: Lost 2021 season due to an ACL injury. As a rookie, showed plenty of electricity with 6.0 yards per carry and 6.1 yards per touch. Baltimore did not add more competition to the backfield while the offensive line is improved on paper. The primary question is how involved Dobbins can get as a pass catcher?

Cam Akers: No back may have a wider range of outcomes at the top of the draft. Akers has the potential to be in the front seat of the backfield attached to a great offense, but also the potential to be a short-term timeshare back that does not catch a ton of passes. Improbable recovery from a July Achilles injury may have done more harm for Akers than good in the eyes of fantasy players. Akers rushed 72 times for 175 yards (2.4 YPC) while catching 11 passes for 86 yards over his five appearances. Rams were 31st in the league in EPA rushing in 2021 while losing two starting offensive linemen this offseason. 

Breece Hall: Checks every box we are looking for in a prospect. W ill surely concede some work to Michael Carter and may be a 1A back to open the season. Many will harp on the staff in New York coming from a coaching tree that has regularly shuffled in bodies at the position with success. But the larger signal here based on draft capital, equity forfeited, size, and production all favor Hall as the back to invest in here for fantasy. 

Antonio Gibson: Did not meet 2021 ceiling expectations, but still posted 1,331 yards and 10 touchdowns on 300 touches battling through a plethora of injuries. Return to J.D. McKissic was a dagger. After McKissic’s injury in Wek 12, Gibson had his route participation jump up to 55.1% of the dropbacks from 35.4% prior, catching 23 passes over his final six games after 19 through 10 games. Steady drumbeat of committee does him no extra favors.

Josh Jacobs: Has gone over 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns in each of his first three seasons. Career-high 54 receptions likely fleeting after managing just 6.4 yards per catch and 5.4 yards per target paired with Josh McDaniels coming in.

Elijah Mitchell: Averaged 20.5 touches per game, which was seventh in the league. Biggest thorn is that he averaged just 1.9 receptions per game, which makes him rushing and touchdown-dependent. In his seven games played without a touchdown, averaged just 9.4 points per game. Both Trey Lance and Deebo Samuel lurk as touchdown stealers.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: In no-man’s land after being the RB23 and RB30 in points per game. Does the addition of Ronald Jones open up more passing-game opportunity, his number one thorn? Edwards-Helaire has averaged just 2.8 and 1.9 receptions per game through two seasons while running just 55 total routes on third down those seasons.

Cordarrelle Patterson: At age 30, Patterson set career-highs with 205 touches, 1,166 yards, and 11 touchdowns. Magic left the bottle down the finish line after an ankle injury as Patterson scored 22.0 total fantasy points in the final four weeks of the season. After catching five or more passes in six of the opening eight games of the season, Patterson had three or fewer catches in each of the final eight games of the year while posting 59 or fewer yards in each of his final five games played.

Kenneth Walker: Potential to be Nick Chubb-esque after exploding for 1,725 yards and 19 scores with the Spartans in 2021. Splash-play runner that devoured heavy boxes in college. Like Chubb, will start off career sharing touches with an up-and-down veteran back on short-term deal. Seattle has always let their best players prove themselves in competition, so hope that he can still hit the ground running if as advertised. 

Miles Sanders: Has now averaged 5.8, 5.5, and 5.6 yards per touch over his three seasons in the league. After six touchdowns in each of his first two seasons, his scoring upside still remains a question with his pass catching improvement attached to Jalen Hurts. After catching 50 passes as a rookie for 10.2 yards per grab, Sanders has 54 catches since with his yards per catch dropping each season, down to 6.1 yards per catch last season. Potential to be arbitrage on J.K. Dobbins.

Damien Harris: Continued to progress in Year 3, turning 220 touches into 1,061 yards and 15 touchdowns, which was fifth at this position. Touchdown or bust fantasy asset, securing just 18 receptions last season, giving him 23 catches through three years in the league. Harris has run a total of just seven pass routes on third down the past two seasons.

Chase Edmonds: Highly efficient, averaging 5.7 yards per touch in each of the past three seasons. Strong scheme fit with Mike McDaniel. Edmonds logged 68 zone runs for 394 yards (5.8 YPC) while also handling 59 RPO carries for 323 yards (5.5 YPC). Ony question remaining is goal line work to unlock his upside. Edmonds has just nine career rushing touchdowns through four seasons, registering just six career carries inside of the 5-yard line, converting one for a touchdown.

A.J. Dillon: After just 48 touches as a rookie, took advantage of the exit of Jamaal Williams, ballooning up to 221 touches for 1,116 yards and seven touchdowns in his second season. In the 10 games that Dillon played with Aaron Jones available in which he did not score a touchdown, Dillon had just one week inside of the top-30 scorers.

Dameon Pierce: P ath to viable touches in 2022 on the wide-open Houston roster. Pierce ranked second this draft class in rate of runs to gain a first down or touchdown (37.0%), he forced a missed tackle once every 2.56 carries (first), while averaging 3.65 yards after contact per carry (12th) with a run of 15 or more yards on 9.0% of his carries (11th). Pierce also averaged 1.80 yards per route run (third in this class) while he did not allow a single pressure in pass protection.

Kareem Hunt: Has been the RB22 and RB21 in points per game during his two years with Cleveland, so you are getting value at this stage. Ironically, Hunt has not been the super-hero handcuff as expected over that time. In five games without Nick Chubb active, Hunt has been an RB1 scorer just once while averaging 13.1 points per game. 

Tony Pollard: Showed having usable weeks last season despite the limited usage, having 10 weeks as an RB3 or better and seven as an RB2 or better. Of course, Ezekiel Elliott was still a major roadblock. Elliott was second among running backs in snaps played and had a monopoly on money touches, having 22 opportunities inside of the 10-yard line to just three for Pollard. Will Pollard be extended in the offense as a pass catcher after offseason moves?

James Cook:  Hyper-efficient per touch over his career (7.5 yards) due to the types of touches he gets paired with the Georgia environment. The hallmark of Cook’s game comes in the passing game, averaging 10.9 yards per reception over his career while averaging 1.63 yards per route in 2021, fourth in this class. Bills are not a team that stacks league-leading production for backs as a whole, we have seen when they turn the backfield over to just one player that those guys have crushed for fantasy.

Michael Carter: 5.3 yards per touch ranked 15th among backs with 100 or more touches, but investment in Breece Hall completely caps his ceiling across the board. 

Melvin Gordon: Has scored nine or more touchdowns in six straight seasons. Gordon did fall below 50% of the backfield touches in each of his final four games of the season after just twice through 12 games. While Gordon is still a thorn for Javonte Williams’s ceiling, anticipating Gordon to be more of a deluxe handcuff in 2022.

J.D. McKissic: Alvin Kamara is the only running back with more targets (174) than McKissic’s 163 while only Kamara and Austin Ekeler have caught more passes than McKissic’s (123) at the position over the past two seasons. Fantasy floor is strictly tied to full-PPR formats as a true passing game back. 76.3% of his career fantasy points have come via receiving.

Rashaad Penny: Will forever be a league-winner after rushing 92 times for 671 yards (7.3 yards per carry) over the final five games of the season. But those efforts only netted a one-year “prove it again” deal while Seattle could not help themselves from significant investment in another rookie back this spring. 

Kenneth Gainwell: 101 touches and six touchdowns as a rookie. Has inline to pass catching role than provide spike weeks on its own, while the lack of backfield additions can give him a short-term opportunity spike should Miles Sanders be lost at any point.  

Rhamondre Stevenson: Was fifth in the league last year in touch rate per snap (57%) and offers the most three-down potential big picture of the New England backs, but still stuck in a messy situation on the surface.

Tyler Allgeier: Joining a limited Atlanta backfield, on a team clearly in a transition phase that could turn over to younger players all over the field. After racking up 1,304 yards and 13 touchdowns in 2020 with a silly 8.0 yards per touch, he followed things up with 1,800 yards and 23 touchdowns this past season (5.9 yards per touch). He scored in all but one game this past season while adding 28 receptions.

Darrell Henderson: Has improved all three years of his career and the Rams showed the most trust in him for the passing game out of the three backs that played in 2021. The rub is that we have not seen Henderson show a lot of standalone value outside of situations in which he has not just accrued all of the backfield touches.

Devin Singletary: As part of committee, Singletary has not found success, averaging 8.2 points per game in 27 career games with fewer than 15 touches, with just eight weeks as an RB2 in those games.

Alexander Mattison: Doesn’t have as flashy peripheral standalone metrics as someone like Tony Pollard but has done nothing but deliver when called up with Dalvin Cook sidelined. Cook has now missed multiple games in every season. 

Ronald Jones: Joins Kansas City coming off 492 yards and four touchdowns on 111 touches, fully losing the job outright to Leonard Fournette. Jones will only turn 25 this August with two 1,000-yard seasons on his resume, but his odds of running into three-down production are slim, though the attachment to the Chiefs keeps him carrying a pulse. 

Isaiah Spiller: Going to a great offense where he can contribute alongside a smaller-sized feature back in Austin Ekeler, Spiller will be a popular Zero-RB target in his first season.

Jamaal Williams: Fourth in the league in touch rate per snap (57.1%) while receiving a career-high 179 touches last season. Williams was used primarily as an early-down grinder, averaging just 2.0 receptions per game, needing D’Andre Swift being absent to open the full opportunity for him. 

Nyheim Hines: Played just 32% of the offensive snaps (matching a career-low) with Jonathan Taylor ascending and expanding his role into the passing game. Hines matched a career-low with 96 touches, but his 6.1 yards per touch were a career-high. Staff has talked him up getting him more involved in 2022.

Gus Edwards: Suffered an ACL injury just two weeks after J.K. Dobbins last season. Has averaged over 5.0 yards per carry in every season but has just 18 career receptions.

James White: 30 years old coming off hip injury that sidelined him for final 14 games but re-signed for two years this offseason. We know the Patriots are going to compartmentalize their backfield and White is a lock to play on passing downs.  

Khalil Herbert: Showed that he was capable of handling a heavy workload as a rookie, handling 76.9% of the backfield touches Weeks 5-8 with Montgomery banged up. Herbert turned in 97 yards from scrimmage per game over that four-game stretch.  

Rachaad White: Early career David Johnson-lite handcuff potential should anything happen to Leonard Fournette. How much can his elite receiving profile earn him playing time out of the box? White accounted for 20.9% of his team receptions and 19.5% of the receiving yards in 2021, the highest rates in this class. Not just a product of volume in the passing game, White also led this class in yards per route run (2.25).

Raheem Mostert: W ill turn 30 this April having played just nine games over the past two seasons, but heading to another wide zone offense in Miami, Mostert is still drawing life as a rushing-based option in a committee with Chase Edmonds.

Marlon Mack: Still only 26 years old and two full years removed from Achilles injury that limited him to just 37 touches over the past two seasons. Primary competition is a rookie fourth-rounder, albeit on one of the worst rosters in football.  

Mark Ingram: Handcuff dart that would get a major early-season bump should we get any suspension for Alvin Kamara. Useful when Kamara missed time a year ago, producing 108 and 113 yards in the first two games that Kamara missed before producing just 26 yards in his other game without Kamara.

James Robinson: Achilles injury in late December will surely have him sidelined for the entirety of the offseason. We did see Cam Akers return from the same injury in six months to keep the door open for Robinson’s return, but has Travis Etienne returning and a new coaching staff as added elements to his injury, Robinson has a lot of question marks. 

Eno Benjamin: James Conner has not played a full season yet over five seasons while Arizona went to the bottom of the well in additions so far to their backfield. 

Hassan Haskins: Handcuff to front-end capital running back. Haskins will be backing up the oldest of the top fantasy backs. 28.2% of his 2021 carries came with eight or more defenders in the box, the second-highest rate in this class. Despite that, Haskins failed to gain yardage on just 8.5% of his carries, the best rate in this class.

D’Onta Foreman: Revitalized career and Foreman should immediately vault Chuba Hubbard as the back behind Christian McCaffrey, who was second-to-last in rushing yards below expectation (-122 yards) as a rookie per Next Gen Stats.

Justin Jefferson: Skating to where the puck is headed over just locking in last year’s WR1. Jefferson followed up an 88-1,400-7 rookie season in which he was the WR9 in points per game (17.1) to post 108-1,616-10 this past season as the WR4 in points per game (19.4). Kevin O’Connell has the potential to bring an improved offensive scheme in year three.

Cooper Kupp: W ill be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. Also did not completely come out of nowhere in terms of performing at a WR1 level, as we have the front half of the 2019 season to draw back on for the upside he had in his range of outcomes.

Ja’Marr Chase: Scored the second-most fantasy points for a rookie wideout in league history. After starting his rookie season out dependent on running hot on low-percentage targets downfield, Chase added nuance and ability to work underneath down the final stretch of the season, unlocking his full arsenal. 

Stefon Diggs: Made averaging 6.1 receptions for 72.1 yards per game feel disappointing to gamers based on expectations, but still ranked 10th and 12th at his position in those categories. Despite the soft letdown, managed a career-high 10 touchdowns while averaging 9.7 targets per game (seventh). Set up for another massive target share attached to the QB1 in fantasy.

Davante Adams:  Has ranked in the top-10 in points per game in six straight seasons. Transition from Green Bay to Las Vegas surrounds him with more viable pass catchers, but still an alpha WR1 . 

Tyreek Hill: Ditto for Hill, who has consistently elevated the performance of every quarterback he has played with . Unlike Adams, however, Hill is coming off his lowest depth of target and yards per target since his rookie season while his yards per route run and yards generated after the catch per reception were the lowest of his six-year career. 

Deebo Samuel: One-of-one player right now. Regression coming after ranking fifth in the NFL in receiving yards despite ranking 54th in routes run and 26th in targets. Also, scored 13-of-16 touchdowns from 10 yards or further. But all Samuel has done is produce when able to play in full over his first three seasons. 

Mike Evans: Death. Sex. Taxes. Mike Evans hitting 1,000 yards receiving. Playoffs showed that Evans still has an apex gear available when Tampa’s top targets were thinned out, while Chris Godwin likely misses part of the front of the season, Antonio Brown is gone, and we are still waiting on a decision from Gronk. 

CeeDee Lamb: 32 receptions for 376 yards and zero touchdowns over the final seven games in the regular season have sparked plenty of vitriol for Lamb’s potential to spike as a future WR1 asset. Now it is sink or swim time with Dallas moving on from Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup mending an ACL injury. Despite the weak close to 2021, Lamb still managed to improve across the board in his second season on a per-game level from his rookie season.

Keenan Allen: As s teady as they come in full-PPR formats, catching over 6.0 receptions per game in each of his past six seasons in which he has played multiple games. Biggest bugaboo has been carrying lower touchdown potential than his WR1 peers. 

A.J. Brown: Has given us pockets of showcasing his fantasy ceiling, but move to Philadelphia once again forces him to remain hyper-efficient . 

Tee Higgins: The first wide receiver here that is clearly not the best wide receiver on his own team, but after Higgins returned from injury in Week 5, he posted an 82-1,282-6 line on 125 targets over his final 16 games played with Ja’Marr Chase while Chase notched 87-1,500-10 on 134 targets. 

Michael Pittman: More than doubled his rookie season production in 2021, catching 88-of-129 targets for 1,082 yards and six touchdowns. Alpha body-type that commanded 60 more targets than the next closest teammate. Indianapolis added little to threaten his 24.8% target share (ninth), while the addition of Matt Ryan is an upgrade . WR13 is right where Pittman was through nine weeks last year was prior to Carson Wentz falling part.

Terry McLaurin: Quarterback play has been the story of his career. McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. Has the best quarterback of his career and everyone is jumping off, but there is still a high ceiling outcome here at lower-end WR2 cost.

Allen Robinson: 2021 was an outright disaster but buying the dip in 2022. Joining the Rams, Robinson landed in a spot that will provide him fantasy-friendly opportunities for the first time in his career.

D.J. Moore: 25-years-old to open up 2022 with 1,200 yards in each of the past three seasons, but quarterback concerns still exist in unlocking his ceiling. Moore has finished eighth (2.17 yards) and 11th (1.93 yards) at his position in yards per team pass attempt the past two seasons while his runway to sustaining a high target share (he was eighth among wideouts with 9.6 targets per game) is still present. 

DK Metcalf: 12 touchdowns in 2021 were fourth in the league but dropped from 5.2 receptions per game down to 4.4 while his 81.4 yards per game in 2020 sagged down to 56.9 yards per game last season. After opening the 2020 season with 90 or more yards in seven of his first eight games, Metcalf has hit that arbitrary mark in just four of 25 games since. The pending Drew Lock/Geno Smith camp battle inspires no confidence.

Michael Thomas: Out-of-sight, out-of-mind the past two seasons. The days of Thomas being someone who pushes for the WR1 overall may have passed, but do I believe he can be a Keenan Allen-type for fantasy and is undervalued. Thomas has had at least five receptions in 10 of 12 weeks without Drew Brees and eight or more grabs in eight of those games, but early-summer news that he still has hurdles to clear with his recovery while the Saints have added Chris Olave and Jarvis Landry to the roster are speed bumps.

Brandin Cooks: Just another year where Cooks will be a massive discount. Has been a top-24 scoring receiver per game in all but one of his eight seasons in the league. Cooks and Davis Mills connected on 71.1% of their targets with five touchdowns and a 101.6 rating while Cooks and Tyrod Taylor connected on 58.3% with one score and an 83.0 rating.

Amari Cooper: C oming off a season in which he once again battled injuries, producing his lowest per-game totals since joining the Cowboys with 6.9 targets, 4.5 catches, and 57.7 yards per game. Joining the Browns, Cooper is set up to be a lead wide receiver while the Browns also just acquired Deshaun Watson.

Diontae Johnson: WR9 in points per game in his third season, catching 107 passes for 1,161 yards and eight touchdowns. While some of the overall volume of targets can be credited to the limitations of the Pittsburgh offense and late-career Ben Roethlisberger, there is a non-zero outcome where Johnson can still improve in terms of target quality, but I generally almost always discount wide receivers I anticipate will play with rookie quarterbacks.

Jaylen Waddle: Set a new record for receptions in a season (104) by a rookie while being asked to operate as a near the line of scrimmage asset. While Waddle can see more upside-based targets in Year 2, we still have a leap of faith to take in projection for what was a floor-based asset for fantasy a year ago that is now potentially compromised by the addition of Tyreek Hill. Without that comfy floor to fall back on, I believe Waddle has a far wider range of outcomes than where he is being selected in current early drafts.

Mike Williams: Set career-highs in targets (129), receptions (76), and yardage (1,146) to go along with nine touchdowns. Reverted back to his boom-or-bust nature as the season progressed, but attachment to Justin Herbert showcased the spike-week potential.

Marquise Brown: Was in the midst of a huge breakout before the injury to Lamar Jackson torpedoed his season. Now, gets to reunite with Kyler Murray while DeAndre Hopkins starts the season suspended. Murray has been the best downfield passer in the league since drafted, an area where Brown still has a lot more growth since he has not seen quality targets downfield yet over his young career .

Darnell Mooney: Caught 81-of-140 targets for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns this past season and closed as the WR31 in points per game for fantasy. The de facto WR1 for Chicago in 2022, In the five games that Allen Robinson missed last season, Mooney caught five passes in all of those games while receiving 25.9% of the team targets. 

Amon-Ra St. Brown: Went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. St. Brown caught eight or more passes in all six games, just the ninth player in league history to have such a streak. The glass half empty case is that the Lions were stripped down primary playmakers in T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift for the chunk of the breakout while the team will add Jameson Williams to the field at some point in 2022. I still buy his skill set as a fit with Jared Goff for the short-terms. We also have no idea right now when Williams will suit up as a rookie while the team cannot go back to operating the way it did the front half of 2021 and expect success.

Rashod Bateman: Gave us a couple of hot spots as a rookie, but ultimately his playing time never consistently materialized while he was still extremely behind both Mark Andrews and Marquise Brown on the pecking order. Now with Brown leaving 146 targets (24.7%) on the table with the depth here severely lacking for the Ravens, Bateman has a runway to vault up to a fantasy WR2.

Jerry Jeudy: H as now appeared in 26 games and has been a top-30 scorer in four of them. The addition of Russell Wilson offers the opportunity for Jeudy to break out in Year 3, which has gamers doubling down on the expectations from a year ago. But with Denver also handing out contracts to Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick, who are also much cheaper in fantasy drafts, I still want to proceed with some restraint.  

Courtland Sutton: Flashed early last season with three WR1 scoring weeks over the opening six games, but things bottomed quickly after that. Over the next 11 games, Sutton caught just 25 passes total for 305 yards. We now have a 50-game sample with Sutton over his career, producing seven WR1 scoring weeks with another five weeks as a WR2 and four as a WR3. With the addition of Russell Wilson, we could be looking at an arbitrage buy similar to Mike Williams.

Chris Godwin: Can be a riser throughout the offseason as we get more information but operating with caution after an ACL tear on December 19th places his early season in question with a wide range of when we will see him at full strength. Like Hopkins, we could be missing Godwin for half or more of the fantasy regular season while potentially also needing a ramp-up period on his return. Has been the WR2, WR15, and WR7 in points per game over the previous three seasons if willing to take the optimistic approach early in drafts as a potential value should he be on track to return early in the season.

Tyler Lockett: Has consistently found a path to strong final-season numbers, posting another 1,175 yards and eight touchdowns on 73 catches. Like Brandin Cooks, he just gets there, but unlike Cooks, does not have a runway to just dominate targets on his roster with questionable quarterback play. Posted 2-35-0, 2-12-0, and 12-142-0 in three games without Russell Wilson a year ago.

Gabriel Davis: Only Jonathan Taylor (33) and Antonio Gibson (21) have scored more touchdowns than Davis (18) so far from the 2020 draft class. Davis has only played two-thirds of the offensive snaps in 14 career games to open his career but has a 50-816-11 line in those games on 87 targets while averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game. Even removing his postseason performance this year, Davis was a top-30 scoring receiver in three of the final five weeks last regular season.

DeAndre Hopkins: Six-game suspension did him no favors. Factoring in a likely bye on top of things, we are looking at Hopkins being absent for half of the fantasy regular season. If your league doesn’t allow suspended players to be placed on injured reserve, then we are eating a roster spot for all of that time. On top of that, he is coming off just 4.2 receptions and 57.2 yards per game, by far his lowest totals per game since 2016. Factoring in replacement value over the front of the season, you can still squeeze out a deluxe WR2 big picture with weekly upside should Hopkins bounce back in terms of production when he gets back to the lineup, but he is now a more nuanced selection.

DeVonta Smith: Smith (64-916-5) proved he can be a lead receiver with a diverse route tree right away as he demonstrated in college. While the talent is clearly here, we still have to question whether or not his immediate situation paired with Brown and the potential schematic limitations Hurts could place on the offense is going to delay his fantasy stardom from matching that displayed talent. Accounted for 43.5% of the Philadelphia wide receiver targets (sixth at his position), something sure to come down with the addition of a target-earner in Brown.

Elijah Moore: Averaged 17.7 points per game over his final seven games while finishing as a WR3 or better in all but one of those games with three WR1 scoring weeks. We still need Zach Wilson to make a jump in play to aid Moore breaking out as Moore and Wilson connected on just 19-of-42 targets (45.2%) while Moore secured 24-of-35 targets (68.6%) from other New York passers.

Kadarius Toney: Ran the full spectrum last season of showcasing elite upside, frustrating usage, off-field concerns, and missing significant time due to injuries, exactly what we saw from him in college. His season was limited to just 196 routes run, but Toney was targeted on 27.0% of those routes, a mark only bested by Antonio Brown, Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, and A.J. Brown in 2021. The small sample was exciting enough to see the potential in his ability while this offseason still has provided enough concerns for downside.  

Adam Thielen: Thielen will surely blow past this ranking if he makes it through 2022 unscathed . Averaged a career-low 10.8 yards per catch, but he remained one of the best touchdown-or-bust fantasy options, scoring 10 times over 13 games before an ankle injury cut his season short. Thielen will turn 32 this August, but Minnesota has limited surrounding talent at the position while we are expecting a more aggressive offense.  

Brandon Aiyuk: Averaged 13.1 points per game and 21.6% of the team targets with seven games as a top-30 scorer over the final 11 weeks out of the doghouse. A trade of Deebo Samuel can open the door here, but Aiyuk still only averaged 6.2 targets per game over that solid close to the season with four or fewer receptions in seven of those 11 games while Trey Lance offers a wide range of outcomes in terms of impact on the offense. 

Russell Gage: Caught 66-of-94 targets for 770 yards and four touchdowns on the hapless Falcons. Has been at his best accruing targets due to absences on the roster, but that exists in Tampa Bay with Chris Godwin’s injury, while there are paths here for him to still make an impact for fantasy as the WR3 in Tampa. Gage just turned 26 years old this past January. Tampa Bay has run the most passing plays (1,402) in the NFL over the past two seasons.

Drake London: Immediately goes to a spot to command a high amount targets in the Atlanta passing game. The first wide receiver drafted this year commanded a target on 41.6% of his routes in 2021, averaging 11.0 receptions for 135.5 yards per game, all tops in this class.

Hunter Renfrow: S hot up to WR10 overall last season (WR17 in points per game), catching 103 passes for 1,038 yards and nine touchdowns. Renfrow’s opportunity was maximized by Darren Waller missing six games, the midseason loss of Henry Ruggs, and the failure of Bryan Edwards to make a second-year leap. In the seven games that Waller missed or exited early, Renfrow averaged 7.1 catches for 79.9 yards per game as opposed to 5.5 catches for 48.8 yards per game otherwise. In the 11 games that Waller played in full, Renfrow reached 60 yards just twice. Now, the Raiders also tack on the addition of Davante Adams, giving them two players ahead in the target pecking order.

JuJu Smith-Schuster: 2021 provided no further clarity here as he appeared in just five games due to a shoulder injury. Prior to injury, we were getting more of the 2020 version of JuJu as he was averaging just 8.6 yards per catch and a paltry 4.6 yards per target. Attachment to Patrick Mahomes (paired with the absence of Tyreek Hill) keeps the lights on for a 26-year-old wideout.

Chase Claypool: Remained stagnant to his rookie efficiency, posting nearly identical catch rates, yards per catch, reception, and yardage per game. The one thing he did not roll over from his rookie season was finding the end zone. After 11 trips to the paint in 2020, Claypool scored just two times last season. Claypool’s rookie season touchdown total is more than enough to keep the lights on at this cost, even if on the early-career Mike Williams trajectory where he ultimately becomes a volatile touchdown-dependent fantasy option. Early signal is that Claypool will play more in the slot in year three with the addition of George Pickens to help generate more friendly targets.

Treylon Burks: With just a 30-year-old Robert Woods coming off an ACL injury to contend with, Burks is set up to command one of the best immediate target shares of this class, albeit in an offense that has limited overall target volume for productive wide receivers already. 

Allen Lazard: Has never caught more than 3.3 passes per game in his career. That said, he is coming off a career-high eight touchdowns. Lazard has played four games without Adams active the past three seasons, posting games of 4-65-1 (five targets), 3-42-0 (four), 5-42-0 (five), and 6-146-1 (eight). Additions of only Sammy Watkins and Christian Watson are as friendly as you hope for.

Christian Kirk: Has finished as the WR53, WR32, WR55, and WR34 in points per game to start his career. Joining the Jaguars,  Kirk has a path to be the target leader, but also in a muddled offense that has a number of questions, while Kirk himself has struggled when tasked to carry a passing game .

Chris Olave: Would not be a surprise to see Olave pace all rookie wideouts in production playing with an aggressive quarterback and better environment than the rest of the first-round wideouts. Olave was second in this class in 2021 in converting 62.5% of his contested catches while not being reliant on them making up a large sample of his targets (15.7%). 20% of his career collegiate receptions went for scores, the highest rate in this draft class.

DeVante Parker: Fought through another injury-filled season, catching 40 passes for 515 yards and two touchdowns. Since Parker’s breakout in 2019, he has come back as the WR42 and WR46 in points per game, missing nine games. Parker still commanded a respectable 7.3 targets per game (30th) to provide a floor when on the field, a total he can hit moving to New England.   

Kenny Golladay: First season with the Giants was an outright disaster, catching 37-of-76 targets for 521 yards and zero touchdowns. Just 50.7% of Golladay’s targets were catchable (lowest rate in the league) while 41.3% of his targets were contested catches (the highest rate in the league). Averaged 9.1 yards per target from Daniel Jones compared to 4.3 yards per target from everyone else while his contract, fantasy cost, and addition of Brian Daboll are silver lining branches to reach for.

Jakobi Meyers: Racked up 126 targets as the de facto WR1 in New England, catching 83 passes for 866 yards and two touchdowns. 23.6% target should come down, while a floor-based option in full-PPR formats only.

Tyler Boyd: 5.9 targets per game were his lowest since 2017 while his receiving yardage per game has declined from the previous season in each of the past three seasons. A solid contributor, Boyd’s fantasy ceiling is now tied to either Chase or Higgins missing time.

Michael Gallup: Played in just nine games in 2021, while suffering a torn ACL in early January. The trade of Amari Cooper leaves a runway for Gallup to be the 1B type we have been chasing but anticipating him missing time and starting slow. 

Garrett Wilson: Wilson is a supreme talent, coming off a season in which he ranked seventh in this class in yards per route run (3.19) and eighth versus man coverage (3.17). But he joins another potentially ascending receiver in Elijah Moore to fight for targets from a young quarterback that struggled. 

Robert Woods: Will turn 30 years old this April, coming off suffering an ACL injury in November after appearing in nine games. Only managed to top 70 yards in two of his nine games while leaving the hyper-efficient Rams passing game for Tennessee. 

Tim Patrick: Has led the Broncos in touchdown receptions in each of the past two seasons, posting solid campaigns of 51-742-6 and 53-734-5. More of a thorn for the potential breakouts we are paying for in this offense, but a solid bench wideout with added upside should Jeudy or Sutton miss time. 

Christian Watson: Checks a lot of boxes in terms of size, athleticism, strong quarterback play, and opportunity,  all things he needs to overcome an unflattering list of recent non-early-declare, non-Power 5 wideouts selected in the second round .

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: Since entering the league, has averaged 16.0 air yards per target, the most in the NFL. His 17.5 career yards per reception are second since he joined the league, only trailing Ja’Marr Chase, who has one year on his belt. But has never commanded more than 73 targets in a season over his first four years in the league.

Robby Anderson: After averaging 5.9 receptions for 68.5 yards per game in 2020, Anderson averaged 3.1 catches for 30.5 yards per game last season. The silver lining is that he still received 110 targets (28th) and the Panthers gave him a contract extension before the season that has him still set up to be the WR2.

Rondale Moore: ended the year with 54 catches for 435 yards and one touchdown. After being a near the line of scrimmage receiver in college, Moore managed a laughable depth of target of just 1.2 yards as a rookie. Just seven of his 64 targets came on throws over 10 yards downfield while 41 came at or behind the line of scrimmage. Moving parts in the offense open the door for Moore in 2022 but needs a substantial volume spike with the types of targets he gets.

Skyy Moore: Gets the enticing attachment to Patrick Mahomes while the wide receiving corps is surrounded by question marks. Moore was third in this class in target rate per route run (36.9%) and fifth in yards per route (3.59) while ranking second in share of team receptions (40.3%), fourth in yardage (42.1%), and third in touchdowns (43.5%) this past season. 

Jarvis Landry: Turned in WR38 and WR41 scoring seasons per game the past two seasons as his receptions and yardage per game have dropped from the previous year in both. Landry has never been a touchdown scorer (clearing six scores in just one of his eight seasons), needing high volume to carry to his production. Landing in New Orleans, Landry’s days of pushing 130 targets are compromised. 

Kendrick Bourne: Was the most efficient wideout on the roster, posting a 67% success rate and 2.01 yards per route run. Bourne accounted for the top-four scoring weeks among New England wideouts last season, capable of spike weeks. Downside us he still has not been a consistent target, earner, maxing out at a season-high of 74 targets through five years in the league.

K.J. Osborn: Chipped in a productive season in his second year in the league, catching 50 passes for 655 yards and seven touchdowns. Kevin O’Connell comes from an offensive tree that has lived in 11 personnel. This past season, Minnesota was 26th in the league in offensive plays with three or more wide receivers on the field (583) while the Rams were first (906).

Curtis Samuel: Groin injury in training camp stunted the start of his season and limited him to just 84 offensive snaps all season. Samuel is still 26 years old and turned in WR36 and WR24 the previous two seasons.

Van Jefferson: Increased his output and production up to a 50-802-6 line in his second season. Set up once again to be on the field full-time in a 3WR-centric offense, but still a touchdown-or-bust option. Average weekly WR68 in 11 games without a score.

Donovan Peoples-Jones: Cleveland’s version of Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Peoples-Jones has now averaged a robust 18.8 yards per catch on an average depth of target of 16.7 yards downfield. 

Will Fuller: Playing just 65 snaps  due to a finger injury that is still apparently an issue . Fuller was only able to land a one-year deal last offseason coming off his best NFL season, so we are likely looking at a prove-it situation again for him when he does sign.

Corey Davis: Prior to a season-ending injury after nine games played, was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. Improvement from Zach Wilson can lift the tide for Davis, who has been the WR32 and WR36 the past two seasons on a per-game basis, but potentially falling to the WR3 attached to a limited quarterback. 

Marvin Jones: Received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime and they spent on Christian Kirk and Zay Jones. Jones averaged 11.4 yards per catch and 6.9 yards per target, his lowest rates since his rookie season.

Jamison Crowder: Has only played one full season over his past five years in the league but is a reliable rental. Only the Rams ran more offensive plays (906) than the Bills did (883) using three or more wide receivers on the field. 

D.J. Chark: Limited to just four games before an ankle injury cut his season short in 2021. Prior to injury, Chark had secured just 7-of-22 targets for 154 yards with a pair of scores. Over his past 22 games played, Chark has averaged 3.7 catches for 48.7 yards per game, catching 55.0% of his targets.

Jahan Dotson: Heavy investment at No. 16 overall give Dotson a path to immediately jump into a significant role as a rookie. Tasked to do some heavy lifting this past season, Dotson accounted for 31.3% of the receptions (fifth in this class), 48% of the receiving touchdowns (second), and 24.5% of the yards from scrimmage (fourth). 

A.J. Green: Gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks. Suspension of DeAndre Hopkins gives him added pulse. 

Nico Collins: Secured 33-of-60 targets ranked eighth among rookie wideouts in targets (60) and fifth in yards per target (7.4). Set up as the WR2 to open the season. 

Alec Pierce: Things are wide open in Indianapolis behind Michael Pittman to contribute. Pittman had 60 more than any other Colts player in 2021. That player was Zach Pascal, who is no longer with the team while veteran T.Y. Hilton still remains a free agent.

Jameson Williams: Will keep the door open to climb as early word has been promising that he will be on schedule to be at training camp, but after suffering an ACL injury on January 10th, I still am handling Williams as having a limited rookie season.  

Travis Kelce: Last year was the first time Kelce did not lead the position in points in six years. Although we did see more valleys from him in previous seasons, he was still the TE2 in points per game (16.4), expected points per game (15.7), and third in targets per game (8.4). Patrick Mahomes isn’t going anywhere while Kelce is still his foxhole target.

Mark Andrews: The first tight end other than Travis Kelce to lead the position in scoring since 2015. We finally got to see what Andrews could do with volume as he set career-highs playing 75% of the offensive snaps (10% higher than his previous high) while running 623 routes (273 more than his previous high). That helped Andrews post a gaudy 107-1,361-9 line on 153 targets. He is now the only tight end to score seven or more touchdowns in each of the past three seasons. 

Darren Waller: Took a step back through an injury-filled season. Waller ended 2021 with 55-665-2 on 93 targets, missing six full games. He caught just 59.1% of his targets after 73.8% and 76.9% the previous two seasons while his catchable target rate (67.8%) was 47th at his position after rates of 77.9% and 82.6% the prior two years. Found the end zone just twice after nine times the year before. Expecting rates to rebound and life should be better with Davante Adams on board. Was still targeted on 23.5% of his routes (fifth at tight end), averaged 8.5 targets per game (second), and was third in expected points per game (14.6) among his peers.

Kyle Pitts: First rookie tight end to reach 1,000 yards receiving since Mike Ditka in 1961. He lined up all over the field, playing 286 snaps in the slot, 248 snaps inline, and another 237 snaps out wide. Pitts was second among all tight ends in route participation rate (80.6%), ninth in targets per game (6.5), and second in intended air yards (1,204). Still carries quarterback and offensive concerns but will definitely score more than one touchdown in 2022.

George Kittle: Frustrating based on displayed capability and lack of consistent usage in his offense. That said, Kittle has still not finished lower than TE4 in points per game over the past four years. Expectation that Trey Lance starts adds another layer of variance while Kittle has missed multiple games in each of the past three seasons.  

Dalton Schultz: Last season’s TE3 overall and TE5 in points per game, catching 78-of-104 targets for 808 yards and eight touchdowns. Schultz ran hot since he averaged just 10.4 yards per catch while ranking ninth in expected points per game (10.9), but with Dallas losing Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wison while Michael Gallup recovers from a late-season ACL injury, Schultz is a top-two target in an offense we want attachment to.

Dallas Goedert: Ran a pass route on 79.7% of the Philadelphia dropbacks (a mark that would have been third over the full season) while commanding 24.5% of the Eagle targets in his full games played (which would have ranked second) after the trade of Zach Ertz. Showed big-play ability, posting a career-high 14.8 yards per reception and 10.9 yards per target. While rates were strong, he ran just 24.6 routes run and 6.2 targets per game over that span, which had him 16th in expected points per game (10.0). Spike-week upside, but QB and offensive limitations make him arbitrage George Kittle.

T.J. Hockenson: Receptions per game have now gone from 2.7 to 4.2 to 5.1 to open his career while his targets have climbed from 4.9 to 6.3 to 7.0 per game. Only question with Hockenson is does he really ever develop into a tide-turner at the position? 

Zach Ertz: In 11 games with the Cardinals, Ertz averaged 5.1 receptions for 52.2 yards per game with three scores. Seven of those games came without Hopkins, where Ertz averaged 9.0 targets per game while receiving a team-high 24.0% of the targets in those games.

Cole Kmet: While the overall production was not scintillating and he failed to score a touchdown, being so young and jumping to a full-time player should still be considered a positive for a tight end that was selected in the second round the year prior. Now, the ghost of Jimmy Graham (who matched Kmet with six end zone targets) will be gone and the Bears have a massive talent deficiency at wide receiver.

Dawson Knox: Fully utilized attachment to the Buffalo offense in Year 3, scoring 32.9% of his fantasy points from touchdowns alone, the highest touchdown dependency in the league. Including the postseason, Knox has now found the end zone at least once in 13 of his past 26 games played. While ranking 20th in targets per game (4.7), and 48th in target rate per route (14.0%) puts Knox in prime regression zone, he also still has that sweet attachment to the Buffalo offense and Josh Allen.

Albert Okwuegbunam: Was targeted on 23.5% of his routes run (fourth among tight ends), but he still was limited behind Noah Fant, playing just 47% of the snaps and running 170 pass routes. With Fant now moving on as part of the Russell Wilson trade, Okwuegbunam not only gets a massive quarterback upgrade, but a clear path to playing time.

Noah Fant: Averaged a career-high 4.3 receptions per game, but also had an early career-low depth of target of 6.4 yards, which played a role in dropping down to 9.9 yards per catch, which was also his lowest rate through three seasons. 12th at the position in targets per game (5.6) while ranking tied for 12th in expected points per game (9.7). A trade to Seattle keeps him potentially having an issue at the quarterback position and slowing down the breakout we are hunting for.

Tyler Higbee: Has not been able to recapture the ceiling he showcased to end the 2019 season, but he turned in a respectable TE13 scoring season per game in 2021 while ranking 11th in expected points per game. Closed the year with at least five receptions in the final four games and still attached to a top-rung passing offense.

Pat Freiermuth: Caught 60-of-79 targets for 497 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. With Eric Ebron out, Freiermuth averaged 4.1 receptions and 11.2 fantasy points per game, running a route on 67.6% of the team dropbacks and receiving 14.6% of the team targets. Still see him more touchdown-dependent than dynamic, but low-bar position makes those touchdowns carry a lot of weight. 

David Njoku: Still only turns 26 years old this July, coming off a career-high 13.2 yards per catch and 9.0 yards per target despite only playing 64% of the offensive snaps. He is getting a quarterback upgrade while the team has moved on from veteran Austin Hooper.

Irv Smith Jr.: Missed all of 2021 due to a meniscus injury. Still only 24 years old this season but enters the final year of his rookie contract with a lot to prove.

Mike Gesicki: Has been a top-12 scorer in each of the past three seasons overall while ranking as the TE16, TE9, and TE14 in points per game over that span, But has also left a lot of meat on the bone in his career while an influx of talent pushes him down the target ladder.

Hunter Henry: Dawson Knox-lite in his first season with the Patriots. Henry closed as the TE10 overall but relied on the strength of nine touchdowns to carry his water as he ranked 22nd in targets per game (4.4), 26th in receptions per game (2.9), and 18th in yardage per game (35.5).

Evan Engram: Coming off career-lows with 3.1 receptions and 27.2 yards per game with a career-low 8.9 yards per catch and 5.6 yards per target. New lifeline with Doug Pederson in Jacksonville, but still has to claw back to regain our trust as a TE1 or streamer we have faith in.

Robert Tonyan: We likely already have seen the best fantasy season of his career while also returning from an ACL injury last season, but 11 touchdown season in 2020 with attachment to Aaron Rodgers keeps the lights on.  

Gerald Everett: 48-478-4 line in the turtle-paced Seattle passing game. Moving to the Chargers, Everett lands in a spot with attachment to an elite quarterback and aggressive offense to allow us to keep chasing the rainbow.

Austin Hooper: Yards per reception have dropped from the previous season in each of the past two years while he averaged just 2.4 receptions per game in 2021. That was his lowest mark since his rookie season. Positive note is Tennessee tight ends combined to catch 82-of-104 targets for 677 yards and nine touchdowns in 2021. 

Logan Thomas: Has a TE1 season on his resume, but there is a lot of fragility here at age-31 coming off an ACL, MCL, and meniscus injury in December of last season. 

Brevin Jordan: A ble to get on the field as the season progressed, catching three touchdowns over his final eight games played, but was still stifled by the Houston offense, turning in 8.9 yards per catch and 6.4 yards per target. 

Hayden Hurst: Former first-round pick has just one season with more than 30 receptions but survived the offseason as the top tight end attached one of the league’s best offenses.  

Dan Arnold: Everyone’s favorite dart throw tight end of the past two years is sitting with a career-high of 35 receptions in a season through six years in the league while the Jaguars have added a host of pass catching competition. 

Jonnu Smith: Smith ended up on the field for just 51% of the snaps despite missing just one game. He caught 28 passes for 294 yards and one score, posting a 39% success rate when targeted. Silver lining is that he was targeted on 27.2% of his routes.

Cameron Brate: Right now, is sitting as the TE1 on the Bucs while the team has started to insulate themselves as if Gronk may not return. A capable player near the end zone, but Brate is more Jack Doyle-ish between the 20s, averaging 10.6 yards per grab for his career, with fewer than 10.0 yards per catch in three of his past four seasons. 

C.J. Uzomah: 11th among all tight ends in route participation (73.1%) in 2021. He only managed to turn in three TE1 scoring weeks, but he also led all tight ends in scoring in two of those weeks. Jets’ tight ends combined for 50 catches for 534 yards and three touchdowns last season.

Mo Alie-Cox: Has averaged 13.4 yards per catch for his career while the team gave him an extension this offseason. But also has 70 catches through four years and the Colts have invested three draft picks into tight ends the past two years.  

Taysom Hill: Moving to tight end as a real and fantasy designation but can still be used as a runner near the goal line with an occasional gadget play to offer some wild card ability as a long-range grasp at usable best ball weeks.

O.J. Howard: 59 catches and four touchdowns over the past three seasons as he has been buried. Handcuff hopeful that is one play away from getting snaps in an elite offense.  

Ricky Seals-Jones: Feels like he is 35 years old, but still 27 and the starter for now with the Giants’ limited depth chart. 

Harrison Bryant: Should improve on 59% and 39% snap rates to start his career, but still needs doors opened to be a full-time player. 

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